Nifty-Corruption
0x9cfeeb174bc4101d90a70873f40b6bc71a03294c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$2.0K
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on April 24?
54600 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-54.65
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
35355 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-388.86
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33729 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-724.05
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
32000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-162.98
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
30780 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-637.29
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23529 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-399.98
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
19800 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-159.17
- YES
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?
15623 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-368.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 1-7?
14000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-258.20
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.60Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$408.13Jul 18, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$0.70Jul 18, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$300.00Jul 18, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$9.30Jul 18, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. England end in a draw?$102.41Jul 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$1.05Jul 18, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$99.89Jul 18, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 17?$76.62Jul 16, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 16?$209.62Jul 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.29Jul 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.29Jul 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$5.27Jul 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$112.04Jul 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$29.14Jul 14, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?$94.43Jul 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.22Jul 13, 09:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.10Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.78Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$507.49Jul 11, 23:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $94.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.