Mediocre-Bear
0x9d01851662e1631b79e2c68b948528bb238f6ef4
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-36.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMMaduro out before September?$0.00Sep 6, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out before September?$1.00Aug 26, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLIf RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?$1.50Aug 26, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIf RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?$1.57Aug 26, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden resigns from presidency by August 31?$0.40Aug 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$0.50Aug 26, 15:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris drop out in August?$0.67Aug 26, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMKamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?$0.00Aug 24, 10:02 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?$0.01Aug 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnnual inflation above 2.5% in August?$36.64Aug 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala or Trump convention speech gets more viewers?$1.00Aug 23, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$1.00Aug 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris drop out in August?$1.00Aug 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden resigns from presidency by August 31?$1.00Aug 23, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$24.14Aug 23, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?$16.50Aug 23, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Monkeypox" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?$14.57Aug 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address?$3.00Aug 23, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $8.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 15, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.