Hidden-Sardine
0x9d01e160b4db312ace00d79202e35f2cd7067151
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$43.87
Total PnL
$-85.25
Realised
$-8.55
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
10 shares @ 48.8¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$-0.75
- NO
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
4 shares @ 97.8¢·now 96.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.90
$-0.10
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
3 shares @ 92.4¢·now 87.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
3 shares @ 77.8¢·now 90.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?
3 shares @ 58.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
2 shares @ 85.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.00Jun 27, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1.00Jun 27, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by June 30?$1.00Jun 27, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran successfully targets shipping on June 29?$1.00Jun 27, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?$1.00Jun 27, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.00Jun 27, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo one announced as next James Bond?$1.00Jun 27, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.00Jun 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.00Jun 27, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew pandemic in 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$1.00Jun 27, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 27, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$1.00Jun 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?$1.00Jun 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.01Jun 27, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.