Pastel-Guitar
0x9d070a01ddc600ebbae69aa2b2d24b06e5218180
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-356.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
677 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-164.70
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
157 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-132.16
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
123 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will US unemployment be 4.3% in December 2024?
2 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?$164.70Feb 7, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$164.70Feb 7, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$132.16Sep 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$131.63Sep 18, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$275.00Sep 18, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment be 4.4% or higher in December 2024?$0.10Dec 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US unemployment be 4.3% in December 2024?$0.72Dec 24, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$48.00Dec 24, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 24, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 18, 10:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $92.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 18, 10:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 08:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".