Decent-Thesis
0x9d10f5d6af71d86a5e92abbeff182f83550149d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
49393 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2021$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
11877 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2021$0.00
$-564.98
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
11451 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2021$0.00
$-405.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
10015 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-562.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
9500 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2021$0.00
$-660.00
- YES
Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?
8988 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2021$0.00
$-897.99
- REPUBLICAN
Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?
3391 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-242.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021?
3163 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2021$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange?
2162 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2021$0.00
$-480.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021?
1242 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWhich party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?$0.00Jan 13, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 12:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".