Limp-Signal
0x9d29e50a7c88df520624d9db03af3b6d267a5111
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-55.7K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
25%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
9700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-60.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
5410 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
3435 shares @ 57.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
2527 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?
2500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
2360 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-985.22
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
2340 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-985.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?$27.47Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$17.78Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$8.31Jul 21, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$31.87Jul 21, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?$20.00Jul 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$30.12Jul 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.14Jul 21, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$8.31Jul 21, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?$25.34Jul 21, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$26.85Jul 21, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$8.01Jul 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$8.06Jul 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$8.11Jul 21, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$8.21Jul 21, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-07-21?$10.13Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KF Víkingur win on 2026-07-21?$25.11Jul 21, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMEstoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria AND Counter-Strike: Fortress vs SAW Youngsters (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #6 Group B$129.24Jul 21, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMPalermo: Alice Rame vs Anastasia Tikhonova$24.69Jul 21, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWinnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick$25.64Jul 21, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Braden Shick$24.64Jul 21, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $18.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 11:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.