Improbable-Medium
0x9d2f6ed483ac90fe647e069b0589939161440dda
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-53.06
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- AVALANCHE
Avalanche vs. Wild
1000 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$564.90
$4.90
- UNDER
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$465.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
75 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$75.40
$0.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
75 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$74.57
$0.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
57 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$57.48
$0.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
56 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$55.56
$0.56
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
54 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$54.09
$0.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
26 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$26.43
$0.26
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
25 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$25.34
$0.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
22 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$21.51
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.0122s ago
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.0156s ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.012m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$12.404m ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$8.984m ago
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.054m ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$9.304m ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$8.905m ago
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.015m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$12.297m ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$9.227m ago
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.059m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$12.309m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$12.1910m ago
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.0111m ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$12.3914m ago
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.0514m ago
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.0514m ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$12.2915m ago
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$5.0115m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 55m ago
- Last active
- 22s ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
