Grave-Mallard
0x9d3f60c764e1097767ef542abfcfaa31cf7da2f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
105
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-325.64
Realised
$20.01
Win rate
88%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 105- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 9PM ET
1643 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9AM ET
315 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.45
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 4AM ET
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 9PM ET
98 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.84
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
94 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.26
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 29, 6AM ET
79 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-21.66
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9AM ET
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 4AM ET
63 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.30
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ET$1.05Jun 25, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ET$1.96Jun 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ET$4.80Jun 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ET$1.66Jun 25, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 7AM ET$3.95Jun 25, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 7AM ET$1.05Jun 25, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 7AM ET$2.08Jun 25, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$1.01Jun 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 6AM ET$3.06Jun 25, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 6AM ET$3.00Jun 25, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$0.00Jun 23, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-22?$2.20Jun 23, 01:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$3.22Jun 22, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$1.00Jun 22, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$2.01Jun 22, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$3.37Jun 22, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$3.11Jun 22, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$2.65Jun 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$0.96Jun 22, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 22, 9AM ET$3.12Jun 22, 13:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
41 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 12:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.