Forceful-Amount
0x9d4485ecc8f0f1a4428a9aa42b25094e4304966f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$7.36
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$213.34
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
10 shares @ 74.1¢·now 73.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.36
$-0.05
- NO
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?
15642 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13271 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-8.5K
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
6384 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-63.84
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
5500 shares @ 91.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4203 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-581.65
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1459 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-284.53
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?
1200 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-237.00
- NO
Russia strike on Kyiv by November 30, 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Lighter reach $5.50 in January?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.41Jul 23, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.00Jul 23, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.99Jul 23, 07:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$13.32Jul 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.50May 22, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.04May 22, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.10May 22, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.20May 22, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$13.70May 22, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.00Apr 24, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$10.00Apr 2, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 2, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$50.00Mar 16, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$9.58Mar 11, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$10.00Mar 11, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$0.79Mar 11, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$9.21Mar 11, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$10.53Mar 11, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$11.00Mar 10, 16:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $113.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 08:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.