Heartfelt-Cage
0x9d4c82f24308f775d75af384aa763920649e1950
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$8.44
Total PnL
$-22.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?
124 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$5.39
$0.39
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.53
$-0.07
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 69.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.52
$-0.08
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
232 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
178 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 3?
17 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?$3.84May 28, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?$1.02May 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?$1.02May 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?$1.03May 28, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$1.60May 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?$1.63May 28, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.41May 28, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.35May 28, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$12.35May 28, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?$5.19May 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 28, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 28, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 3?$1.50Jan 28, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on February 3?$0.55Jan 28, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 29?$3.00Jan 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.80Jan 28, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 28, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$2.00Jan 28, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.00Jan 28, 19:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".