Best-Refusal
0x9d4ee89c4978248fd37d34e059d53026c19b6e96
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$195.49
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- NEPAL
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)
2143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- CANADA
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs Canada (Game 1)
2100 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- YES
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-13?
1200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?
1100 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-125.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?
1000 shares @ 37.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-375.00
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
990 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-183.43
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?
900 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-65.99
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
820 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-82.75
- YES
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?
800 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-56.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
794 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-183.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-22?$3.52Mar 22, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on February 5?$0.00Mar 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?$88.29Mar 21, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?$110.54Mar 20, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?$30.50Mar 18, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$14.21Mar 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?$20.00Mar 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$10.00Mar 18, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?$10.00Mar 18, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$83.67Mar 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$54.44Mar 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?$15.60Mar 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-17?$30.00Mar 17, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?$80.00Mar 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?$3.30Mar 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?$56.00Mar 14, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?$5.17Mar 14, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $39.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 14:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".