Academic-Tarragon
0x9d5e47709d92e6c6c45380d77725e11db8242bac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
845371 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-845.37
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
770888 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
702303 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
212465 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-846.03
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
132759 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
48814 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-613.55
- YES
Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
48282 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-48.28
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
36541 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-109.62
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
32945 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-65.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$61.53Aug 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.23Aug 13, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.33Aug 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.33Aug 13, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.31Aug 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.32Aug 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.32Aug 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.33Aug 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.24Aug 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.25Aug 13, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.40Aug 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.42Aug 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Aug 13, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.50Aug 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.50Aug 13, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.05Aug 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$6.36Aug 13, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.13Aug 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$2.73Aug 13, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".