Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.6K

Realised

$-187.85

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 15

YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
50438 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-949.94
YES
Maduro out in 2025?
31654 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-189.95
YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
9612 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?
5842 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?
547 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?
293 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?
291 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?
254 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?
238 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?
221 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-5.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$1.3KJan 3, 06:54 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$100.00Jan 3, 06:45 UTC
TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$482.93Jan 3, 06:40 UTC
TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$17.0KJan 3, 06:33 UTC
TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$40.1KJan 3, 06:33 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$998.00Jan 2, 16:02 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$1000.00Jan 2, 16:01 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$1.0KJan 2, 04:03 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?$1.2KJan 2, 01:21 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$300.00Jan 1, 18:09 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$200.00Dec 31, 16:17 UTC
TRADEBUYMaduro out by January 31, 2026?$200.00Dec 31, 16:16 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$300.00Dec 31, 08:28 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$500.00Dec 31, 06:57 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$500.00Dec 31, 05:22 UTC
TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$336.56Dec 31, 05:19 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$200.00Dec 31, 04:21 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?$100.00Dec 31, 03:56 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$100.00Dec 31, 03:54 UTC
TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$100.00Dec 31, 03:36 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk66 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $1.7K
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 18, 00:44 UTC
Last active: Jan 3, 06:54 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 18:28:13 UTC·src:Polymarket Data