Legal-Banjo
0x9d694f467013228767fc1f260f5087de0f75c3e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.46
Realised
$10.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Africa" during his next video?
165 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
138 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.18
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?
105 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.09
- YES
Will Iran strike six countries in March?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike two countries in March?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
86 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.86
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
71 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.57Jul 12, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$20.00Apr 21, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Influencer" during his next video?$5.00Apr 18, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say "Africa" during his next video?$5.00Apr 18, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike one country in March?$0.00Apr 10, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$20.87Mar 3, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$17.85Mar 2, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$9.36Mar 2, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 2, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$13.00Mar 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADESELLHezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?$20.33Mar 2, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$5.00Mar 1, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.