0x9d6faafa030c72aafbae4ec6097272f94f0d64f9
0x9d6faafa030c72aafbae4ec6097272f94f0d64f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$70.30
Total PnL
$1.06
Realised
$-0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$9.85
$3.45
- EAGLES
Lions vs. Eagles
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$8.62
$3.62
- STEELERS
Dolphins vs. Steelers: 1H Moneyline
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$8.47
$3.47
- RAMS
Seahawks vs. Rams
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$8.20
$3.20
- STEELERS
Dolphins vs. Steelers
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$8.06
$3.06
- CHIEFS
Colts vs. Chiefs
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$7.94
$2.94
- SPURS
Grizzlies vs. Spurs
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$7.35
$2.35
- PATRIOTS
Patriots vs. Bengals
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$6.67
$1.67
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.14
$0.14
- ROCKETS
Nuggets vs. Rockets
23 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-12.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$0.00Dec 15, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$0.00Dec 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Steelers$5.00Dec 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDolphins vs. Steelers: 1H Moneyline$5.00Dec 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?$6.40Dec 13, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?$16.15Dec 13, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?$0.00Dec 13, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?$5.39Dec 11, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be at least 42.5 on December 12, 2025?$5.00Dec 11, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Booming" this week? (December 8 - 14)$0.00Dec 10, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 8 - 14)$0.00Dec 10, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Booming" this week? (December 8 - 14)$5.20Dec 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 8 - 14)$5.20Dec 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on December 6?$16.06Dec 8, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$0.00Dec 8, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.00Dec 8, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 6?$5.01Dec 6, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anca Alexandrescu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$6.03Dec 6, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?$8.77Dec 6, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.00Dec 2, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 20:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.