Superficial-Disposal
0x9d8d997dc425ed8ba82c5fd40e04d23ccf73151e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$17.13
Total PnL
$-3.81
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.76
$0.02
- NO
Bird flu vaccine in 2025?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Trump jail Liz Cheney?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.90
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump jail Fauci?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBiden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? $1.03Dec 18, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMJill Biden charged before September?$2.06Dec 18, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMBird flu pandemic before August 2025?$2.15Dec 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?$269.46Dec 18, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$1.00Dec 16, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31?$279.20Dec 16, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?$297.50Dec 16, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?$299.70Dec 16, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shaun Deeb win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$2.00Dec 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYJill Biden charged before September?$2.00Jun 21, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump jail Liz Cheney?$2.00Jun 21, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump jail Fauci?$1.00Jun 21, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office? $1.00Jun 21, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 21, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference?$1.01Jun 21, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tyrese Haliburton lead the NBA in Assists?$1.04Jun 21, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$1.08Jun 21, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEM100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$2.02Jun 21, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before April?$2.00Mar 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBird flu vaccine in 2025?$2.00Mar 15, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $39.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".