Playful-Icing
0x9d8d9d47e33668e41e8d6f94392738a3bb7f1425
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$319.83
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
939 shares @ 40.9¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$230.06
$-154.12
- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
180 shares @ 39.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$74.70
$4.50
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
107 shares @ 92.0¢·now 14.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.08
$-83.36
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in November?
263 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
260 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-9.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
200 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
200 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-101.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$33.38Feb 17, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$7.74Feb 17, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$9.57Feb 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$3.90Feb 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMeta (META) Up or Down on February 17?$58.00Feb 17, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$3.00Feb 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$15.60Feb 17, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?$10.53Feb 17, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 17?$53.00Feb 17, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?$1.14Feb 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?$30.00Feb 17, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?$1.26Feb 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?$5.19Feb 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrosoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 17?$5.56Feb 17, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on February 17?$34.79Feb 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$7.22Jan 30, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?$4.60Jan 30, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $4.53Jan 30, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$0.30Jan 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$356.96Jan 28, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $37.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 23:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".