Sturdy-Crisp
0x9d954c12a82e40b97cf9463f30499172e2e7bad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$13.87
Total PnL
$-12.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.55
$1.77
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.22
$0.22
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1621 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.64
- NO
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.64Dec 21, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$10.64Dec 19, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$4.78Dec 3, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$10.00Dec 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$3.00Dec 3, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?$1.00Dec 3, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 3, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?$5.00Dec 3, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $5.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 13:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.