Profuse-Macadamia
0x9d95d1149221cf63ce0810bbef31184b32b80ae6
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$131.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
131 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$131.00
$18.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
1723 shares @ 96.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12PM ET
30 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-14.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3PM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12AM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$112.66Dec 17, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$112.00Dec 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$99.68Dec 9, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$1.3KNov 11, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$442.36Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$12.28Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$23.75Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$4.75Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$9.50Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$9.50Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$47.50Nov 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$18.35Nov 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$43.65Nov 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$97.00Nov 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$669.07Nov 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$264.00Nov 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$24.00Nov 11, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$95.04Nov 11, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$86.13Nov 11, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6AM ET$50.49Nov 11, 12:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $181.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 10:58 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.