Runny-Cenotaph
0x9dad5d72354700976e9e9e36b855ba2423c824b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-748.40
Realised
$-162.55
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?
151 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-39.32
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 10?
130 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 27?
127 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
125 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-122.54
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 19?
121 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 23?
120 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- USC UPSTATE SPARTANS
USC Upstate Spartans vs. High Point Panthers
118 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 25?
107 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 11?
103 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on January 29?
100 shares @ 94.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-94.84
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 13?$57.06Aug 13, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 13?$0.38Aug 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 13?$54.63Aug 12, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 6?$2.13Aug 5, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30?$1.40Jul 29, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 10?$3.03Jul 9, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$56.72Jul 1, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 1?$54.45Jun 30, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$55.71May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 26?$53.37May 26, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$51.59May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$49.73May 18, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$2.74May 15, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$58.45May 9, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 19?$0.00Apr 30, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?$1.95Apr 19, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 28?$0.00Apr 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$0.08Apr 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$0.11Apr 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on April 11?$56.92Apr 10, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $23.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.