Tempting-Alarm
0x9db0d48b4360f40dde2c39c40bfde344a5b0f111
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.97
Total PnL
$-31.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$-0.00
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in July?
14400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.40
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?
5900 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mintsuku hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times June 27–July 4?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his 4th of July remarks?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.37May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.39May 19, 00:21 UTC
- REWARD$0.33May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$4.97May 8, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?$5.90Sep 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.41Sep 12, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >40% on July 1?$2.00Sep 12, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$2.00Sep 12, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.7 in July?$14.40Jul 31, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$1.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$1.00Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMPhillies vs. Braves$13.07Jul 2, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Space Force" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?$1.00Jun 27, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".