Neat-Scarification
0x9dc0e038e217b8032a139abdef436da26cf6c2a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
21/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-1.4K
Win rate
15%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 12?
658 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-166.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 12?
600 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-81.78
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?
578 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on April 12?
578 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-28.88
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on April 12?
482 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 11?
409 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-106.86
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 12?
403 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.17
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 12?
290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-144.84
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 12?
287 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-143.60
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 11?
276 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-44.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be greater than $130 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on April 30?$0.00Apr 30, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 124 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
124 closed markets, 15% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 20:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.