0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd
0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$28.9K
Total PnL
$-32.4K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
58%
65 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
2088 shares @ 64.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$2.0K
$615.96
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
1804 shares @ 69.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.6K
$334.48
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1303 shares @ 66.9¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$964.22
$92.11
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat?
958 shares @ 89.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$895.73
$34.03
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2336 shares @ 27.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$829.28
$186.89
- NO
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
829 shares @ 72.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Oct 3, 2026$815.32
$214.29
- NO
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
798 shares @ 56.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$794.43
$345.81
- NO
Celonis IPO before 2027?
820 shares @ 64.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$713.40
$187.73
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?
707 shares @ 86.4¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$681.19
$70.36
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
959 shares @ 76.5¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$647.33
$-86.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$14.95Jun 15, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$37.13Jun 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$22.58Jun 15, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?$43.81Jun 15, 13:53 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$83.03Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.22Jun 14, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLHailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?$9.13Jun 14, 18:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$8.59Jun 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$7.40Jun 14, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?$9.77Jun 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$2.17Jun 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$4.35Jun 14, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?$18.14Jun 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$1.17Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$4.76Jun 14, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$6.35Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$6.67Jun 14, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?$0.32Jun 14, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$1.20Jun 14, 06:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 13:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 65 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.