Oval-Memo
0x9de287b7b38781932e028b860f8c3399538dc993
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$16.99
Total PnL
$-163.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
138 shares @ 3.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.17
$4.17
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
367 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- DODGERS
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
332 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
193 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Stan Marsh make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?
65 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$70.59Jan 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Jan 17, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBlue Jays vs. Dodgers$80.00Oct 30, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NIKE (NKE) beat quarterly earnings?$11.00Sep 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$20.00Sep 30, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.00Sep 25, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$11.00Sep 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.00Sep 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$5.00Sep 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 25, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$15.00Sep 25, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$1.00Sep 25, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stan Marsh make a trade during South Park's prediction market episode?$1.00Sep 25, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUY James Comey indicted before October?$5.00Sep 25, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFever vs. Valkyries$5.00Aug 31, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$5.00Aug 31, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Aug 31, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$5.00Aug 31, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $19.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 31, 20:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".