Muddy-Pattypan
0x9df736fe6c22a98f85f92c43a45bda05c97007fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-464.54
Realised
$-101.01
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?
243 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 15?
116 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25?
94 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-25.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
76 shares @ 97.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.82
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 23?
72 shares @ 90.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-65.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 23?
71 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.22
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 23?
69 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?
68 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 17?
67 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-18.31
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 10?
60 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on August 15?$3.09Aug 14, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 15?$75.63Jul 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 15?$72.00Jul 15, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 25?$1.84Jun 25, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$74.88May 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 25?$70.91May 24, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 24?$2.07May 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 18?$2.58May 18, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$62.00May 12, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$59.83May 11, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 11?$1.44May 10, 19:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?$63.28May 1, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 5PM ET$0.00Apr 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trevor win the Legend Trade Series?$2.88Apr 15, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?$0.00Apr 11, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $2.00 January 5-11?$0.00Mar 31, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?$0.08Mar 29, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?$61.62Mar 29, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$61.53Mar 28, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$59.93Mar 27, 19:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.