Optimistic-Indication
0x9dfbfd17ada4541350af8e55cddbba5a9d79ad35
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$256.03
Total PnL
$-112.22
Realised
$8.82
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
607 shares @ 36.7¢·now 26.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$158.52
$-64.33
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.85
$-0.15
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
147 shares @ 12.4¢·now 13.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.62
$1.40
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
980 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$19.61
$-30.39
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$7.58
$4.58
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$3.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.83
$-0.17
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?
13 shares @ 15.1¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?
16 shares @ 12.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.92Jun 13, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$9.93Jun 13, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.94Jun 13, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$8.33Jun 12, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$20.18Jun 12, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$20.20Jun 11, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?$2.05Jun 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?$2.05Jun 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?$2.05Jun 11, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$3.07Jun 9, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$3.07Jun 9, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-06-14?$3.07Jun 9, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-13?$3.08Jun 9, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$14.17Jun 9, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$3.08Jun 9, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$3.07Jun 9, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$3.06Jun 9, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$3.08Jun 9, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$85.96Jun 9, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.29Jun 4, 16:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $21.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 01:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.