Kindhearted-Congressperson
0x9e06ae8986e93a6ea6564fa51e48dae197c44463
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$0.08
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 10?
18 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$18.00
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 11?
17 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$17.00
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on August 11?
15 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$15.00
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 11?$16.97Aug 10, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 10?$17.97Aug 10, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or below on August 11?$14.99Aug 10, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 7?$15.00Aug 10, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 5?$16.96Aug 10, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 6?$18.00Aug 10, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C or higher on July 5?$16.94Jul 5, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 7?$14.99Jul 5, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C or below on July 6?$17.98Jul 5, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$16.00Jul 5, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$16.90Jul 5, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$17.00Jul 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$16.88Jun 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$15.98Jun 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?$16.98Jun 27, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$15.00Jun 27, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 15?$16.80Jun 27, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$18.00Jun 27, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 15?$16.78May 12, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$17.98May 12, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $19.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 03:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.