Aggressive-Morphology
0x9e06fa5616c863240726c3e53499f25708b4c226
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$9.36
Total PnL
$-55.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.90
$-2.10
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
15 shares @ 37.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.46
$-4.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?
202 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 6 - 0 Real Madrid CF?
74 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
48 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Barcelona 6 - 0 Real Madrid CF?$1.51May 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$1.02May 10, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Barcelona 4 - 1 Real Madrid CF?$2.06May 10, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF?$2.06May 10, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Real Madrid CF?$4.11May 10, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$9.98May 6, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$2.06May 6, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$2.06May 6, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$2.06May 6, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland win on 2026-03-31?$10.00Mar 31, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 11?$5.95Mar 10, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Feb 26, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Feb 26, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$6.95Feb 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$2.89Feb 26, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$2.00Feb 26, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.70Feb 26, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.00Feb 26, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $3.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 18:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.