Thankful-Referendum
0x9e1a921094c6d2c78215b2a678460faaf4beba31
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-299.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 3AM ET
206 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-103.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
194 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-97.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
136 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-47.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?
53 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-26.50
- BNK FEARX
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)
27 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.01
- NO
Will FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw?
13 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.68
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$22.00Apr 1, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$16.28Mar 22, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?$8.00Mar 22, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 22?$18.50Mar 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw?$3.52Mar 21, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw?$3.22Mar 21, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCV Farul Constanţa end in a draw?$1.94Mar 21, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$36.00Mar 20, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)$17.01Mar 20, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19?$39.00Mar 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$28.80Mar 19, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$53.00Mar 19, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 19?$30.42Mar 19, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score$31.00Mar 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)$27.56Mar 18, 01:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$14.00Mar 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score$17.05Mar 17, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$16.00Mar 16, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$12.74Mar 16, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 BNP Paribas Open Men’s Singles Tournament?$20.00Mar 16, 06:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $44.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 18:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".