Anxious-Print
0x9e1ae4609ae5cbe70b8038644b1852e2e845e20a
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$47.02
Total PnL
$-628.28
Realised
$-218.37
Win rate
0%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 15?
102 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$45.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
15311 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1234 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1046 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
1038 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
1035 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?$102.22Aug 14, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 15?$45.25Aug 14, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?$42.48Aug 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?$46.26Aug 14, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?$97.37Aug 13, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 14?$22.87Aug 13, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?$47.26Aug 13, 08:34 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.00Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$48.25Aug 12, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?$36.12Aug 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?$79.13Aug 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?$103.36Aug 12, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?$93.94Aug 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$100.62Aug 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 12?$1.05Aug 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$68.09Aug 12, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?$103.33Aug 12, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?$419.74Aug 12, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?$34.12Aug 12, 07:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 47 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
47 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $102.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 13:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.