Fine-Column
0x9e3c32ba42587e51c3d9b20b1671b349cbd81f3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$106.41
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$207.65
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?
163 shares @ 39.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$66.12
$1.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 16?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$39.75
$9.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
109 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.55
$-11.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
10124 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
874 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
698 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
665 shares @ 90.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
444 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
432 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
417 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$12.75Jul 15, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$18.00Jul 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$808.20Jul 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$615.54Jul 15, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$98.00Jul 15, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$557.41Jul 15, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$503.60Jul 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$145.80Jul 15, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$103.71Jul 15, 15:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$602.09Jul 15, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$507.09Jul 15, 15:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$628.45Jul 15, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$507.15Jul 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$123.60Jul 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$63.02Jul 15, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$458.69Jul 15, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$403.58Jul 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$141.32Jul 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$103.85Jul 15, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$405.41Jul 15, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $225.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.