Salty-Snuck
0x9e3d112e19b82aec1f1b34d633b68a9e7dc2fd8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.37
Total PnL
$-2.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
SBF released from custody in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel military action against Iran before July?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the top AI model on October 31?$1.00Oct 16, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$278.11Oct 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$278.40Oct 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$291.78Oct 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$292.08Oct 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$277.71Oct 14, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 14, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$278.00Oct 14, 07:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$1.30Oct 14, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Kimmel apologize by Friday?$1.00Sep 24, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Drobysheve by October 31?$1.00Sep 24, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00Sep 24, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSBF released from custody in 2025?$1.00Sep 24, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$1.28Sep 24, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$2.20Sep 24, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?$2.00May 28, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.00May 28, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Iran before July?$1.00May 28, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?$1.00May 28, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants?$2.32May 28, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $52.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 03:21 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 09:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.