Outlying-Sloth
0x9e435bec86e621e7678e1c60352f996133b1255b
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$13.71
Total PnL
$0.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$6.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
4 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$3.26
$0.26
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$11.98Dec 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$12.00Dec 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$129.84Dec 18, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$129.98Dec 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?$21.75Dec 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?$22.00Dec 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$6.00Dec 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$132.94Dec 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$133.08Dec 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$4.00Dec 18, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?$3.00Dec 18, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$22.58Dec 18, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$23.00Dec 18, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$143.93Dec 18, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$144.37Dec 18, 14:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$144.37Dec 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$144.52Dec 18, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$113.87Dec 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$115.00Dec 18, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$5.76Nov 30, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $70.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".