Discrete-Contagion
0x9e46284f18839939183a1209761c72e868e9a7f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-545.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DU PLESSIS
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
2363 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-109.22
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?
1938 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-127.27
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7AM ET
183 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-54.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2AM ET
151 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9AM ET
70 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3AM ET
56 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 1AM ET
45 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler be the first round leader at the 2025 Tour Championship?
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6AM ET
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nobel" or "Prize" this week?$0.00Mar 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$77.27Aug 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$25.00Aug 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22?$15.00Aug 20, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8PM ET$0.00Aug 20, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8PM ET$13.16Aug 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8PM ET$5.00Aug 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8PM ET$5.00Aug 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4PM ET$5.00Aug 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1PM ET$17.15Aug 19, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 1PM ET$10.00Aug 19, 17:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5AM ET$0.00Aug 19, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5AM ET$20.68Aug 19, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5AM ET$15.00Aug 19, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5AM ET$3.00Aug 19, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5AM ET$5.00Aug 19, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4AM ET$25.84Aug 19, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4AM ET$3.00Aug 19, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET$14.55Aug 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4AM ET$3.00Aug 19, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 20:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 00:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".