Neighboring-Flick
0x9e5119acf4493a6d33ec4034bbf3f37dcc637538
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.38
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-31.10
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
5 shares @ 28.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-1.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on February 4?
570 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-34.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 31?
330 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?
218 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 December 29-January 4?
210 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-37.90
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 December 29-January 4?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
199 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-73.64
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6PM ET
160 shares @ 42.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-67.64
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 30?
121 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 29-January 4?
120 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-65.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.90Jul 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$2.50Jul 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.20Jul 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$3.55Jul 3, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$15.00Jul 3, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.05Jul 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$2.45Jul 3, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$4.48Jul 3, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.05Jul 3, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$3.40Jul 3, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.95Jul 3, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.58Jul 3, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.07Jul 3, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?$2.06Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$5.00Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$5.00Jul 3, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.02Mar 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $185 by end of February?$2.03Mar 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$3.11Mar 11, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of February?$5.00Mar 11, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 15:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.