Passionate-Presentation
0x9e529ca38fc3392a7dc6f5e26ab7901945e87ad2
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
128
Open notional
$13.05
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$302.32
Win rate
100%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.05
$-5.95
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3500 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 9?
2986 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-70.10
- DOWN
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on December 10?
2667 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-69.31
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
2406 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-43.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 22?
2100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-27.04
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1885 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on November 24?
1550 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-107.00
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
1154 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.93
- UP
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 20?
1001 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-41.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.