Phony-Latex
0x9e5705f9a53c8b857a5e5fc10691f1f758d855b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-982.07
Realised
$44.81
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of January?
10803 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.23
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of March 2026?
8300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-27.99
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?
2238 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $190 in April?
2158 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-39.11
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?
1844 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $75-$80 in March?
1580 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.02
- NO
Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?
1522 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
1414 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.10
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?
1400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of June 8 2026?$1.97Jun 10, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by June 5?$2.01Jun 9, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in May?$134.58May 22, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$3.40May 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$6.31May 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.88May 19, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.02May 19, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.11May 19, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.01May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.10May 19, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.02May 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.02May 19, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?$0.03May 19, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$2.05May 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$1.95May 19, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$35.28May 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.58May 19, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.19May 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$3.71May 19, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?$9.84May 19, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.