Happy-Billion
0x9e5a7d833b67e96f326ee3da5f23832578d34492
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.78
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 25?
1101 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 26?
10 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?
7 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 8?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 7?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 2?
5 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on June 29?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 1?$1.05Aug 1, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?$6.00Jul 30, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 30?$4.58Jul 30, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$1.00Jul 24, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$4.94Jul 24, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 24?$5.12Jul 24, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 17?$1.04Jul 17, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?$1.05Jul 15, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?$0.96Jul 13, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?$1.04Jul 13, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?$1.73Jul 10, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 10?$1.05Jul 10, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 10?$1.04Jul 10, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?$1.71Jul 9, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?$4.85Jul 9, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 9?$1.04Jul 9, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 9?$1.04Jul 9, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?$0.24Jul 8, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?$2.26Jul 8, 16:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 09:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.