Faraway-Incarnation
0x9e5bebd5a416614f87085cd0a15bdb6dd14b4111
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-67.54
Realised
$0.58
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
5520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?
231 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 30?
108 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 8?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on January 2?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5PM ET
26 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -2°C or higher on January 2?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5PM ET$1.72Feb 7, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5PM ET$9.00Feb 7, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.30Feb 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$2.75Feb 7, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET$2.93Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET$5.07Feb 7, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET$6.50Feb 7, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET$3.75Feb 7, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET$1.16Feb 7, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4PM ET$2.09Feb 7, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$7.92Feb 6, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$7.52Feb 6, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$7.20Feb 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$6.93Feb 6, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$7.00Feb 6, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$3.45Feb 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 3PM ET$3.45Feb 6, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET$6.99Feb 6, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET$6.65Feb 6, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2PM ET$4.55Feb 6, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 06:24 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 22:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.