Dependent-Hammer
0x9e5cf3a924e61e482a247f8ac9f41155d5c398a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.53
Total PnL
$-167.87
Realised
$-1.63
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.53
$0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 4AM ET
5700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-18.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2AM ET
5200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.47
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7PM ET
4900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-16.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8PM ET
4500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-26.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET
3800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-17.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 9PM ET
2900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.59
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-8.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 9AM ET
1400 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-16.39
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7PM ET
1100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "The Boroughs" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.07Jul 10, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$2.38Jul 10, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.55Jul 10, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1AM ET$200.00Jul 10, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.50Jul 10, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$1.07Jul 2, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.01Jul 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.00Jul 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.98Jul 2, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.90Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.01Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.01Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.01Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$1.14Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$1.17Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.16Jul 2, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.02Jul 2, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 10AM ET$0.64Jul 2, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 13:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.