Queasy-Transparency
0x9e5d98c61c88b83057c9da63923e9eee754e214b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-679.15
Realised
$-17.97
Win rate
72%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
1500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
292 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-46.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
100 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-48.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
100 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-48.50
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
90 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.95
- YES
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?
82 shares @ 63.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-51.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
59 shares @ 48.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-28.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$48.74Jul 16, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$62.88Jul 16, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$105.94Jul 16, 03:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.02Jul 15, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$8.33Jun 3, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$7.81Apr 3, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$33.50Apr 3, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?$41.31Mar 28, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23?$18.99Mar 20, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 March 16-22?$18.99Mar 18, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 March 16-22?$12.85Mar 17, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?$12.85Mar 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?$17.77Mar 17, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?$17.77Mar 16, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?$12.26Mar 13, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 5?$11.43Mar 6, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 5?$8.00Mar 5, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?$8.83Mar 5, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
72% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.