Sure-Footed-Hall
0x9e61143d0901d9f13bee8a016f1733388a4b9860
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.8K
Realised
$2.1K
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?
201309 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- YES
Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League?
192370 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-413.21
- YES
Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
108130 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?
100165 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-794.71
- YES
Will the Broncos win Super Bowl 2025?
94957 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-898.48
- YES
Will the Steelers win Super Bowl 2025?
84565 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?
81954 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-655.88
- YES
Will PSV Eindhoven win the UEFA Champions League?
56694 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-157.78
- YES
Will the Falcons win Super Bowl 2025?
40000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
28209 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2025$0.00
$-374.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AS Roma win on 2025-09-14?$269.08Sep 14, 11:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Packers (-3.5)$269.09Sep 14, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Packers (-3.5)$127.35Sep 11, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$127.34Sep 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$62.16Sep 4, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$43.00Sep 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$11.83Sep 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$23.14Sep 4, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$20.36Sep 4, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$0.95Sep 4, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$46.91Sep 4, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$11.01Sep 4, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$2.09Sep 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$9.21Sep 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$15.31Sep 4, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$0.95Sep 4, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$1.91Sep 4, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$13.75Sep 4, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$8.61Sep 4, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$6.99Sep 4, 09:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 14, 11:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.