Flawless-Crayon
0x9e6beb9b8c12423ed0eb555678f915db3124de73
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-109.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 25?
23 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-18.93
- NO
Will Netanyahu say "Hostage" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 17?
12 shares @ 93.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on September 24?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 83°F or higher on September 18?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 86°F or higher on July 27?
7 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on September 16?
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will anyone say "Killed Kenny" during South Park's prediction market episode?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on September 22?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on October 5?$1.05Oct 6, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on October 5?$1.67Oct 6, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$4.24Oct 6, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on October 5?$10.10Oct 6, 20:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Oct 5, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$0.00Oct 5, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$4.16Oct 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$5.00Oct 5, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.06Oct 5, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$6.09Oct 5, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$6.03Oct 5, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$3.00Oct 5, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on October 5?$1.58Oct 5, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$3.16Oct 5, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.30Oct 5, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$4.21Oct 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$3.00Oct 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10AM ET$3.19Oct 5, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4.03Oct 5, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.91Oct 5, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 07:42 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 6, 20:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".