Gray-Veto
0x9e6f2fd5cfedf2e3123e8e11ee97e31389755e4f
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$200.35
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-4.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
212 shares @ 88.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$200.35
$12.66
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- IOWA STATE CYCLONES
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?
156 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
152 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
140 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan?
136 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NETHERLANDS
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Davante Adams: Anytime Touchdown
111 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-53.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$46.32Jul 19, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$32.61Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$15.40Jul 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$15.46Jul 14, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$33.16Jul 12, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$15.18Jul 12, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$26.51Jul 12, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$10.12Jul 11, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.40Jul 11, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: 1+ goals$10.28Jul 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$10.31Jul 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$10.37Jul 10, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$28.15Jul 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$14.99Jul 9, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$36.00Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$5.09Jul 7, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$10.17Jul 7, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals$9.99Jul 6, 23:32 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: O/U 2.5$26.32Jul 6, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $14.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.