Quick-Radiosonde-Manifestation
0x9e7601336e45914d0f87bf8a5fff9c362f0d73b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-748.47
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
4008 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.00
$-33.43
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1236 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
568 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
522 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.04
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
315 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.98
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?
293 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Avalanche$5.06May 20, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.78May 20, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$3.10May 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$2.74May 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$1.96May 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$9.44Apr 5, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$5.00Mar 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$1.00Mar 30, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Nuggets$30.00Mar 30, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$1.00Mar 30, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Flyers$25.00Mar 30, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more?$15.00Mar 29, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$6.64Mar 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10.00Mar 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.00Mar 29, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.00Mar 29, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$5.00Mar 29, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Mar 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Mar 29, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$5.00Mar 29, 14:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".