Insubstantial-Coffee
0x9e88f359b9803e41420fbb13385c5ae1765c301c
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$53.5K
Total PnL
$10.9K
Realised
$9.6K
Win rate
77%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?
3775 shares @ 90.6¢·now 86.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.3K
$-149.88
- YES
Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings?
2511 shares @ 87.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.3K
$82.39
- YES
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
2334 shares @ 73.1¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.1K
$394.02
- YES
Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings?
2035 shares @ 83.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.8K
$88.49
- YES
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?
1704 shares @ 85.3¢·now 93.3¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$1.6K
$135.78
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
31095 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.3K
$-429.88
- NO
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by July 31?
1256 shares @ 80.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.2K
$162.66
- YES
Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?
1227 shares @ 82.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.1K
$54.68
- YES
Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?
1024 shares @ 87.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$975.71
$78.12
- YES
Will Charles River (CRL) beat quarterly earnings?
1019 shares @ 84.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$958.17
$94.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?$226.15Jul 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?$36.97Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?$79.23Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?$47.92Jul 28, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?$37.40Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?$271.07Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$244.80Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Invesco (IVZ) beat quarterly earnings?$4.68Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill JetBlue Airways (JBLU) beat quarterly earnings?$29.25Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?$48.50Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMCoca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 4.5%-5.5%?$95.90Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMCoca-Cola (KO) Q2 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5%-5%?$100.00Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMCoca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 3.5%-4.5%?$121.99Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMCoca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?$130.81Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?$2.0KJul 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $100B by December 31?$5.00Jul 28, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CBRE Group (CBRE) beat quarterly earnings?$127.18Jul 28, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.95Jul 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?$0.45Jul 28, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings?$2.40Jul 28, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 99 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
99 closed markets, 77% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $74.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.