0x9e975eab339470a629df969bdbc789d6e33f7773
0x9e975eab339470a629df969bdbc789d6e33f7773
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$226.43
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-197.67
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?
129 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$100.24
$3.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 27?
67 shares @ 72.5¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$51.56
$3.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?
26 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$25.78
$9.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 26?
21 shares @ 75.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$18.50
$2.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?
24 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$15.54
$-0.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 26?
25 shares @ 64.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$14.57
$-1.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?
1 shares @ 65.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.24
$-0.56
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 7?
335 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 8?
84 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-49.65
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 7?
79 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.24
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?$3.79Jul 26, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?$48.79Jul 26, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?$48.79Jul 26, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 27?$48.91Jul 26, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 27?$16.16Jul 26, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on July 26?$16.15Jul 26, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 25?$71.52Jul 26, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 26?$16.37Jul 26, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 25?$24.78Jul 26, 04:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 25?$28.86Jul 26, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on July 26?$16.21Jul 26, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 26?$16.29Jul 25, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 24?$65.74Jul 25, 05:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 24?$24.38Jul 25, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 24?$32.58Jul 25, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 24?$27.54Jul 25, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 25?$50.80Jul 25, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 25?$16.39Jul 25, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 25?$17.38Jul 24, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 25?$16.34Jul 24, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $28.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 18:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.