0x9e98bffe91eb110ee744939cc207ba31c920dade
0x9e98bffe91eb110ee744939cc207ba31c920dade
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$222.87
Total PnL
$13.61
Realised
$3.57
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
48 shares @ 62.2¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$29.68
$-0.32
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
29 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$28.18
$2.95
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
29 shares @ 60.5¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.22
$1.46
- YES
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
34 shares @ 47.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.52
$1.52
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
26 shares @ 60.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.01
$0.00
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
47 shares @ 33.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.14
$-0.50
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
23 shares @ 61.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.85
$-0.15
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
26 shares @ 23.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$4.17
- YES
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.08
$0.10
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
15 shares @ 66.1¢·now 35.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.38
$-4.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?$2.0043m ago
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?$2.0446m ago
- REDEEMWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?$2.021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $85 on May 8?$2.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 4 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 Week of May 4 2026?$2.003h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $420 in May?$2.003h ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?$0.366h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 8?$2.048h ago
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5$2.1515h ago
- TRADEBUYTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5$2.0016h ago
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 4 2026?$2.021d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?$2.271d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 7?$2.051d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 7?$0.481d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 7?$2.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $427.50 Week of May 4 2026?$2.001d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?$3.922d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 6?$0.042d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 3d ago
- Last active
- 43m ago
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
