Webbed-Existence
0x9ea0c4baf944b4648c3e312db65b993a8af0a84b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-755.17
Realised
$10.81
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
6539 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-53.54
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
2797 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-8.39
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?
1405 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-21.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?
1146 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.47
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $121K and $122K on August 12 at 5PM ET?
997 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2025$0.00
$-19.08
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
846 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Elon tweet 600–624 times August 8–August 15?
832 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
763 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 31 at 5PM ET?
633 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.73
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114K and $115K on August 2 at 5PM ET?
539 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-27.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?$10.68Sep 25, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$2.80Sep 22, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?$4.23Sep 20, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$8.39Sep 19, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$14.68Sep 19, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$7.24Sep 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 12 to September 19, 2025?$23.23Sep 17, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$11.43Sep 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 480 and 499 times September 5–12?$7.10Sep 5, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?$22.42Sep 2, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?$19.36Sep 2, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 210–224 times?$7.97Aug 21, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times?$7.11Aug 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 195–209 times?$7.11Aug 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times?$1.05Aug 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times?$4.00Aug 20, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times?$4.00Aug 20, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on August 17 at 5PM ET?$8.53Aug 17, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 405–419 times August 1–August 8?$0.00Aug 16, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 285–299 times August 1–August 8?$0.00Aug 16, 21:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 25, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.