Uncomfortable-Mastication-Instrumentalist
0x9ea484072725ef3ff8aefa8f56dfe3e0cd0ff180
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$37.40
Total PnL
$-255.47
Realised
$14.24
Win rate
9%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
1248 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 30, 2027$26.84
$-0.62
- YES
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
256 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp May 30, 2027$9.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
40 shares @ 25.3¢·now 1.8¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$0.69
$-9.31
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
152 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the World Cup?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
112 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.98
- YES
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
98 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will 2+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- AUSTRALIA
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
92 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-44.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?$28.80Aug 17, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?$10.48Aug 17, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?$10.37Jul 27, 23:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Switzerland O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5$1.89Jul 7, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the World Cup?$1.83Jul 7, 22:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $11.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 11:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.